Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Best AK Blogger Post of the Week (Yet) on the US Senate Race

Steve Aufrecht, from What Do I Know, rode his bicycle around to the McAdams, Miller and Murkowski Anchorage campaign headquarters' today. His goal - pick up on some of the ambience of the various campaigns by checking out what kinds of food they had available for volunteers.

Steve took many photos, and the way he uses them in the post shows how much his often understated questions can reveal visually.

Enjoy.

image - Steve. Not an endorsement of Murkowski

Joe the Teabagger Campaign Death Spiral Watch - Day 16 - Miller To Finally Get into the 20% Area Thursday

I predicted earlier in this series that Joe Miller would end up third in the Alaska U.S. Senate race. The accumulation of bizarre actions by Miller or his campaign staff over the past four months will finally catch up with him by the end of this week, the final one before this year's pivotal November election. There's just no way he can survive this:

In the short span of time the employees were trying to get to the bottom of what had happened, Miller lied no less than four times:

He told them he'd had to use another computer because he couldn't access the website he needed to get to on his.

He claimed he had to clear the cache or the website might block his access.

He initially denied being on more than one computer

And he claimed he was visiting a professor's website at the University of Alaska Fairbanks.

In a written account of events offered by one of Miller's co-workers -- identifed in an earlier records release as "employee 3" but now known to be Jill Dolan, Miller's acting supervisor at the time -- Dolan states that the office staff felt none of what Miller was saying made any sense and that he was acting bizarre.

Miller had also been talking about threats he had recently received, but wouldn't offer specific details. Dolan also didn't trust his stories about the computer use because he had, some time earlier, been asking a lot of questions about accessing the computer servers and wanting to make sure they were safe from hackers.

He insisted his colleagues were "overreacting" and even attempted to shift the blame to them.

"He maintained the whole time he did not violate the computer use policy and that actually all of us did for not securing our computers," Dolan wrote.

Waiting for the first poll to put Joe in the high 20s........

Rachel Maddow Proves David Guttenberg 100% Right

Rep. David Guttenberg (D - 8th District) was quoted by The Mudflats, back on August 31st, from Dave's facebook page:

I beat this fool when he ran against me in 2004. Miller speaks drivel.

He clearly cares nothing about the lives of Alaskans just about this constitutional double talk. If I was a Tea Party supporter, I would worry about this guy being my champion. I believe he is a career wanna-be big high mucky muck, who wants to be in charge of you life.
At that time, the growing realization that Miller might not be a good option for having someone "in charge of your life," helped spur the budding fundraising efforts for Scott McAdams. Right after the Alaska primary, McAdams was unknown. Concern about how dangerous Miller might be spurred people to help McAdams set an Alaska record for single day on-line fundraising during the first week of September.

Tuesday, in Anchorage, Rachel Maddow from MSNBC, pursued Miller on the issue of gay rights. Miller's evasive non-answers and weasel word answers might have been the best example yet of how precisely right Guttenberg's analysis was and is:


Time to donate to Scott McAdams again?

YES!

I Get the "Who You Gonna Vote For?" Question Popped to Me - Twice

Tuesday, while shopping at a computer store, and during a rehearsal break, I got asked pretty much the same question by friends. I suppose a lot of readers here who live in Alaska have been asked the same question, or will be asked soon:
Q: "Who you gonna vote for?"

A: For what?

Q: In the Senate race.

A: You know the answer to that - Scott.

Q: But what if McAdams isn't even in the picture and it's really close between Miller and Murkowski?

A: The last polls will show Joe dropping a lot.

Q: What if they don't? What if Joe ends up winning by one vote?

A: I can't vote for Lisa Murkowski, and Joe Miller should be indicted. Scott gets my vote.
I suppose somebody else will be popping me the question.

How about you?

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Homemade McAdams Signs on Trunk Road in the Mat-Su Valley

This set of new signs was up on Trunk Road, between Mat-Su College and the Palmer-Wasilla Highway this morning. Dewey the Sign Guy put them up yesterday. Go Scott!

Anchorage Civic Orchestra to Present Villa-Lobos & Sibelius Masterpieces November 6th

That's the poster I've made for the Anchorage Civic Orchestra's upcoming Fall Concert, to be held a week from Saturday, at the Sydney Laurence Theatre. Among other works, the ensemble will be playing Heitor Villa-Lobos' hauntingly beautiful Bachianas Brasileiras No.5, a work for eight cellists and soprano. It begins with one of he most memorable melodies of all time:


The concert will conclude with Jean Sibelius' 3rd Symphony. Less known than the 2nd and 5th - Sibelius' most popular symphonies - the 3rd marked Sibelius' first giant steps toward his search for stripping away ostentatious elements from his work. Here's the final movement:

Some Last Images Before the Snow Hits

Pansies growing in the driveway on Monday.

Flowers still blooming in Judy's rock garden.

Making beet-goat cheese ravioli Sunday afternoon.

Folded and finished ravioli.

Cooked ravioli, with Costa Rican lobster. Yum!


Miller's Caswell Lake House Brings New Questions to the Fore

If I could choose an image that shouts "Tea Party Club House!" this would be it. It is Joe Miller's large cabin by Caswell Lake, near Willow. He got a good deal on it. Since, he has generally listed it as "rental property," when he has chosen to disclose its place in his portfolio. The Alaska Dispatch has an excellent article on this today, written by Craig Medred.

The information in it leads me to want to speculate some more on where Miller seems to sometimes get more money for things like this than makes sense in his income statements.

Over the weekend, a few of my Veteran friends and I have pretty much come to the conclusion that Miller claims a service-connected disability of at least 30%. At that rate, monthly payments for his spouse and children begin to kick in. The payments are tax free, do not need to be listed on disclosure filings, and - if he gets them - would amount to thousands of dollars per month.


We've got one week to find out if that is part of the reason why Joe did this at the same event last week at which Julia O'Malley was politely told the First Amendment does not pertain to her:

Alaskan Senate hopeful and semi-bearded teabagger Joe Miller literally ran away from a question about his disabled-veteran status during last night’s “Meet and Greet” session in Anchorage. In a roomful of 50 people — most supporters and well wishers — Miller was asked to identify his service-connected disability and his official “percentage disabled.” Panic swept over Miller’s sweaty face.

Looking away from your correspondent, Miller yelped to no one in particular, “We’ve gotta go!” He then pointed to his wife and said, “Let’s move!” The Millers hustled to the back of the vacant strip mall office next to the pizza place and surrounded themselves with campaign staffers.

This time, Miller’s phalanx of creepy skinheads dressed as Secret Service agents — last seen assaulting and restraining a local journalist — were nowhere around. Your correspondent was able to escape unscathed.

image - Alaska Dispatch

Joe the Teabagger Campaign Death Spiral Watch - Day 15: Reports of More Miller Goon Chest-Bumping After KTUU Debate

I've received two reports now of Miller goons and thugs chest-bumping adherents of Lisa Murkowski and Scott McAdams Sunday night at the conclusion of the KTUU debate at the Alaska Native Heritage Center. One person requests anonymity, as she had been a Miller supporter until she witnessed the incident. She claims Miller goons bowled over an older woman as they sought to clear a lane toward the nearest exit for Joe.

The second witness will remain anonymous for now. He was trying to get close enough to Miller to ask the latter about the "service connected" disability Miller referred to last week in an answer to an Anchorage Daily News candidate questionnaire. He says that both he and Kelly Walters were pushed around and chest-thumped by Miller ruffians, as other Miller hooligans cleared the Tea Party Express-funded candidate's escape route behind them.

At least it didn't end up for Kelly and my anonymous tipsters like it did for this woman in Kentucky last night, after she was shoved to the ground by Rand Paul's Tea Party Express hoods, after a debate between Paul and Kentucky Attorney General, Jack Conway:

Monday, October 25, 2010

Thoughts on the KTUU Debate - and on Palin 2012

I. Judy and I watched both the KTUU TV debates Sunday evening. We watched at home, as she prepared for another trip to the lower Kuskokwim villages where she mentors first and second year teachers. Those who attended the debates in person had to deal with the frequent stops in the continuity of the debates. At home, what we got during those lapses was a huge wave of political ads.

The Murkowski and Miller ads are being paid for largely from out-of-state contributions. The Miller ads are going to be fed a huge transfusion, between now and November 2nd, from the billionaire Koch Brothers-controlled Tea Party Express. Had it not been for their July-August infusion of at least $600,000 into Miller's campaign, there would have been two people at last night's table - Murkowski and McAdams. Murkoski's out-of-state money is being supplanted with over 1.2 million dollars in funding from Native corporations. Miller and Murkowski are spending far more on TV ads alone in 2010 than all the 2006 gubernatorial candidates - Halcro, Knowles and Palin - spent on everything, including staff.

The Koch Brothers and other outside influencers on the post-Citizens United vs Federal Elections Commission playing field have bought this election as best they can. They've put their money behind the guy they feel they can control best - Joe Miller. Their ads are slick and, to me, at least, they seem to work better on Alaska's low information voters than do those of Murkowski and McAdams.

Miller's final on-the-air-in-Alaska admission that he committed Federal and Alaska felonies while working as a part-time attorney for the Fairbanks North Star Borough back in 2008 was an important turn. He's obviously been practicing up on how to deliver the carefully scripted lines. It isn't often that you get a candidate to admit to committing multiple felonies in front of hundreds of people and on statewide TV nine days before an election. Yet he did.

One might think such an admission would be worthy of a direct quote in the articles now appearing about the debate. KTUU's own article on this doesn't even mention Miller's admission or the issues of ethics that it begs. As of 6:20 a.m. on Monday, KTUU hasn't posted any videos on the Senate debate, though they have put up the entire gubernatorial debate (which Ethan Berkowitz clearly won).

The Anchorage Daily News article on this is headlined "Ethics takes center stage in Senate debate." It was filed by Associated Press writer Becky Bohrer. There is no Miller quote on the violations of law. Instead, Bohrer writes:

Ethics took center stage Sunday during a debate in which Alaska Senate hopeful Joe Miller said he was suspended for or docked three days' pay for violating ethics policy while working as a local government attorney in 2008. This acknowledgment came less than two weeks after Miller told Alaska reporters he'd no longer answer questions about his past or background after alleging his personnel file from his time as an attorney for the Fairbanks North Star Borough had been illegally leaked.

After former borough Mayor Jim Whitaker said Miller was nearly fired for using government computers in a failed effort to oust the state GOP chairman in 2008, Miller told CNN he had violated ethics policy but said it was unrelated to his leaving the job in 2009 or to the issues of the current Senate race. On Sunday, a day after a judge in Fairbanks ordered the borough release Miller's personnel records, Miller said he had participated in a private poll during his lunch hour. He said it was a mistake that he's learned from. His attorney said no decision has been made on whether to fight the records' release.

Is there some reason for reluctance to directly quote Miller on his admission to having broken the law, or was it just too late on a Sunday evening, with everyone wanting to get home? We'll know soon enough.

It appears to me, though, that Miller admitted to at least as serious of a violation of computer tampering statutes as did young David Kernell. Is Miller being set up to take a fall soon after he takes office? I'm beginning to wonder.

II. Palin is the subject of a long New York Magazine article by Jim Helleman that is coming out this week, titled "How Sarah Palin Could End Up President in 2012." The article explains fairly well how disruptive and different the political environment we have entered is:

For those who believe Palin plans to run in 2012, the fact that she has thrown herself into so many races—to date, she has endorsed 56 candidates, 35 of them tea-partyers—is a significant piece of evidence. There are others. The fund-raising total for her PAC through September 30 ($2.5 million) ranks behind only Romney among potential candidates. She has given more than 70 speeches this year all across the country. In September, she dipped her toe in the Iowa waters by headlining the state party’s annual Ronald Reagan Dinner.

Much was made of the fact that Palin did none of the traditional kowtowing to Republican activists and local officials in the Hawkeye State. Yet, in other places, she has begun courting GOP lever-pullers whose support is critical to winning the nomination. Earlier this month, Palin attended a closed-door dinner at the Breakers in Palm Beach, hosted by the CEO of the conservative media company Newsmax and attended by several dozen A-list insiders, and repeatedly invoked the memory of Reagan. In doing so, she not only tried implicitly to rebut concerns about her electability—noting that naysayers said the same about the Gipper in 1980—but imbue herself with an optimism that some Republicans have found lacking in her relentless assaults on Obama. (In San Jose, she name-checked Reagan eleven times, often in proximity to terms such as “positive” or “exceptionalism.”)


Helleman goes on to describe various scenarios that will start taking place about 13 months from now, as the series of 2012 primaries ramp up. He quotes Tim Pawlenty consultant Vin Weber:

Even with the rise of the tea party, the widespread presumption is that, in the end, the Establishment candidate would prevail: “As Republicans, that’s our history, that’s our DNA,” notes Castellanos. Enhancing that presumption is another: that Palin will be prone to such horrific gaffes, appalling missteps, and gratuitous misstatements that they will clarify for Republican voters what selecting her would mean. “There’s a strong, strong possibility that she will falter, will make some big mistake,” says Weber. “Then it becomes a little bit like Howard Dean, where the party finally looks at her and says, ‘Gee, we like a lot of what she says, a lot of what she stands for, but she would lead us to a disaster.’ ”

But as Weber himself acknowledges, there is another possibility—one that he says is much on the mind of his old friend Newt Gingrich. “She could just take off and sweep everything,” Weber offers glumly.

“You can’t talk about that without talking about the culture in which we live,” says a senior strategist. “Reality-TV culture has taken over real life, which, together with opinion news, she is using more effectively than anyone. At the end of the day, her ability to create a spectacle, get a crowd, whip up people—is that translatable into a plurality victory in a Republican primary? It’s impossible to know. Because you’ve never seen anything like it. It’s totally uncharted territory.”


Totally uncharted territory indeed. As one commenter at this morning's ADN article on the Senatorial debate observed:

Joe Miller and Sarah Palin have played Alaskans like a harp on a string. Although he rails against big government, he's a squatter who's used government subsidies for his welfare family. Sarah Palin, who endorsed this bozo, quit her governorship just to raise money for her hillbilly family, and bamboozle the enablers who support her. Wake up Alaskans, you're being hoodwinked by poor white trash!!

images: Kernell-Reudrich-Palin-Miller - PA; Palin with TriG in Phoenix Saturday - PA; two clowns - Down with Tyranny!